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Beginning in late March, the lockdown measures imposed by state governments had dramatic and far-reaching economic effects. As activities considered to be non-essential, both private and public, were ceased, the Commercial sector was impacted as businesses and governments curtailed or ceased normal operations. This analysis examines the energy consumption in the form of the sales of electricity to the Commercial sector in light of several forecasting methods to assess the impact of the lockdown.

Forecasting, empirical analysis