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Inflation Persistence and Growth in Seven Middle Eastern Economies
Tahereh Alavi Hojjat, Bradley C. Barnhorst

Last modified: 2011-09-20





We examine inflation persistence and gross domestic product growth for a group of seven Middle Eastern economies from 1980-2009 using World Bank and International Monetary Fund data. Although there is a substantial body of literature on the impact of money supply on the economies of industrial countries, there is not nearly as much study done on the role of monetary policy as a stabilization tool in developing nations, particularly in Middle Eastern countries. This study will shed some light on the relationship between money and economic activities in seven Middle Eastern countries and whether monetary authorities can function effectively in their formulation and implementation of monetary policy. We find that money supply growth is correlated with inflation persistence, and study other factors’ affects on both. Also, the relationship between money supply and economic growth is tested with regard to additional factors, demonstrating that money supply, while affecting growth, is not the dominant factor.



Inflation, Money Supply, Monetary Policy, Middle East, Economic Growth